• April 12, 2025

☕ Vibe shift

A “sell America” era may be coming…

Good morning. Ladies and gentlemen…the weekend.

—Molly Liebergall, Sam Klebanov, Matty Merritt, Abby Rubenstein, Neal Freyman

MARKETS

Nasdaq

16,724.46

+2.06%

S&P

5,363.36

+1.81%

Dow

40,212.71

+1.56%

10-Year

4.493%

+10.0 bps

Bitcoin

$83,621.58

+4.92%

MicroStrategy

$299.98

+10.15%

Data is provided by

*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 6:00pm ET. Here’s what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: Wall Street ended one of its most volatile weeks ever with a bang. Stocks rose yesterday and finished the week higher than they started as wild swings brought on by an ever-evolving tariff policy continued. Stocks remain below where they were when President Trump first announced his “reciprocal” tariffs—but the S&P 500 and the Dow each grinded out their best week since 2023, while the Nasdaq had its best since 2022.
  • Stock spotlight: MicroStrategy, a company with large bitcoin holdings, climbed as investors hunted for a safe place to land amid the chaos.
 

ECONOMY

Stock market numbers on April 11, 2025

Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

With economic alarm bells ringing in the Land of the Free, analysts voiced new fears this week that global investors could spike a glass bottle on America and yell “SCATTER!”—if they haven’t already.

Bird’s eye view: Markets regained some ground once President Trump announced a tariff pause, but key assets and indexes have still moved enough to fuel suspicions of a foreign retreat.

  • American money is losing value: The US dollar’s exchange rate with European currency hit a three-year low yesterday at 88 cents on the euro. It’s seemingly because European investors are “repatriating capital to the eurozone,” an executive at the Swiss bank UBP said.
  • US stocks underwent more whiplash this week than Miles Teller in that drumming movie. Amid volatility around tariff uncertainty, Bank of America’s chief strategist Michael Hartnett is telling traders to sell S&P 500 rallies before it plunges again.
  • Demand for US bonds and other Treasury notes also largely fell this week, while German bonds gained ground as a potential safe-haven alternative.

Declining equities, Treasurys, and currency values demonstrate “a radical shift away from US assets,” a strategist with ING said yesterday.

It’s a stark vibe shift:

  • Typically, almost $2 trillion pours into US businesses, banks, and markets from investors outside of the country every year, according to government data.
  • The US receives 41% of all the money in the world that gets invested across national borders—doubling its share from the beginning of the pandemic, per Axios.
  • Global investors also hold about 30% of US public debt. That’s up from 23% of the pile three decades ago.

Zoom out: It’s too soon to tell if the “sell America” risk, as analysts call it, is the beginning of a new global economic order or just a phase. But anxiety about the US economy is growing: Consumer sentiment plunged this month, and inflation expectations hit their highest level since 1981. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink said yesterday that the country may already be in a recession.—ML

Presented By Pendulum

WORLD

Cargo containers in Shezhen, China

Cheng Xin/Getty Images

China raises tariffs on US to 125% in latest trade war retaliation. The Chinese government said it would be the last time it matched the US in tit-for-tat tariff escalation, saying that even if the US goes higher than its present 145% import tax on Chinese products, “it would no longer have any economic significance and would go down as a joke in the history of world economics.” China, which per Reuters imported nearly $150 billion worth of US goods last year, said there’s no market for US-made items at the current rate. Though the two countries appear locked in an intractable trade battle, a White House spokesperson said yesterday that President Trump is “optimistic” about a deal with China—though he’s reportedly waiting for its leader to call him.

Judge demands daily updates on mistakenly deported man. During a tense hearing at which the Justice Department had little information to provide about its plans to free Kilmar Abrego Garcia—who was mistakenly deported to a prison in El Salvador and whose return the Supreme Court ruled the government must “facilitate”—a federal judge said there must be updates to create a record of “what, if anything, the government is doing or not doing.” Garcia’s deportation, which the government has admitted was in error, has become a flashpoint in debates over President Trump’s immigration policies. In a separate high-profile case, a Louisiana immigration judge ruled yesterday that Mahmoud Khalil, a Columbia graduate student and green card holder who participated in pro-Palestine protests, can be deported because the government believes he is a national security risk. He’s expected to appeal.

Bank profits are up, but tariffs bring a hazy future. JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley kicked off the earnings season by reporting that their traders brought in record revenue at the start of the year. But it wasn’t exactly a triumphant start to the season: JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon cautioned that the US economy “is facing considerable turbulence.” Dimon said he expects earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies to fall and for more companies to pull their guidance due to the uncertainties caused by the trade war.—AR

MEDIA

Vanity Fair editor in chief Radhika Jones

Phillip Faraone/VF25/Getty Images for Vanity Fair

Throwing an annual bash for Hollywood A-listers and hobnobbing with glitterati sounds like a dream job. But so far, there are no apparent takers for the open position of top editor at Vanity Fair, once the most glamorous gig in media.

Radhika Jones, the current editor-in-chief who has helmed the magazine synonymous with chic sophistication since 2017, announced she’s stepping down earlier this month. A successor has yet to be named, leading to musings about whether the job is losing its luster as print publications face receding relevance in the digital age, according to the New York Times.

Past its prime

In its heyday in the 1990s and 2000s:

  • The magazine prospered by selling ad-sponsored editions filled with prestige writing and photography that readers would keep on their coffee tables to signal cultural refinement.
  • Former Vanity Fair special correspondent Bryan Burrough reminisced about making as much as $498,000 a year for penning just three longreads.

But despite its enduring cultural cachet, Vanity Fair now reportedly struggles to drive web traffic and keep itself fresh, per New York Magazine.

Big picture: Vanity Fair’s corporate overlord, Condé Nast, which also owns the New Yorker, Vogue, and GQ, conducted two rounds of layoffs in 2024. It also licensed its content to OpenAI to shore up revenue and ensure its links appear in SearchGPT.—SK

Together With Mejuri

FOOD & BEV

Hostess’s Munchie Mobile

Hostess

For decades, Hostess clung to its wholesome, after-school-snack image. But the 106-year-old brand is finally growing up. The treat-maker kicked off its latest marketing campaign this week: parking a food truck in front of dispensaries and handing out free goodies.

The Wienermobile knockoff is called the Munchie Mobile, and it will be dispersing snack cakes and Twinkies at various stops along the East Coast through the infamous weed holiday 4/20.

What’s with the edgy pivot? The J.M. Smucker Co. acquired Hostess two years ago for $4.6 billion hoping it could use the brand to conquer the snack aisle. So far, its takeover has been a little stale. As part of a larger industry decline in snack sales, Smucker reported a 2% YoY net sales decline for its quarter ending in January.

  • The industry says rising costs have led to consumers cutting back on snacks.
  • In bad news for snacks, overall convenience-store sales dropped by 4.3% in the 12 months through February, according to market research firm Circana.

Smucker hasn’t given up on Hostess. In addition to a strange wordplay-based marketing tactic, the company recently revamped the legacy brand’s packaging and introduced two new products: Donettes Apple Cinnamon Fritter Rings and a mini version of the classic chocolate cupcakes.—MM

STAT

Trader Joe's mini totes

Trader Joe’s

If you’re seeing a rock concert-sized line outside of your local Trader Joe’s, it’s not because everyone’s stocking up on cookie butter and Everything Bagel seasoning (though they might be). It’s because the grocery chain’s viral $2.99 mini tote bags are making an Oasis-style comeback. The canvas bags, which first captured the internet’s attention in February 2024, became available this month with straps and the company’s logo in a variety of new pastel hues and sold out within 15 minutes at some locations after bag fans began lining up at 4am to snag them.

The lucky few who managed to score the 13x11x6-inch bags probably can’t use them to contain their grocery haul. While some just want to show them off on TikTok, others see them as a side hustle: Several eBay sellers are trying to resell the $3 sensation for $1,000+, per People Magazine.—AR

NEWS

  • The US and Iran are holding high-level nuclear talks today in Oman. President Trump has threatened war if Iran does not make a deal quickly.
  • The couple killed with their children in an NYC helicopter crash this week were executives at Siemens and the company said it was “deeply saddened” by their deaths.
  • Five more Big Law firms threatened with executive action against them by the president have each agreed to do $125 million of free legal work on causes the Trump administration supports.
  • Frontier Airlines is cutting flights and pulling its full-year guidance, saying economic uncertainty has tamped down travel demand.
  • The ex-CEO of Abercrombie & Fitch has dementia and is not fit to stand trial on sex trafficking charges, according to his lawyers and the prosecutors.

RECS

To-do list banner

Want more tips from the Brew? Check out our top recs here.

Snooze: Say hello to better sleep with a weighted blanket for your eyes.**

See the stats: The income needed to be middle class in every US state.

Bake: You can buy an expensive candy bar, or you can make these pistachio chocolate chunk cookies.

Learn: Why we call a dollar a buck.

Got app ideas? Apps Without Code is hosting a *free* How to Build Your Own App and Business workshop on April 15. Save your spot.*

They’re back ‘n’ better: New-Seller Savings from Walmart Marketplace include incentives totaling up to $75k.¹ Plus, they’re offering more time for you to reach maximum savings. Start selling.*

*A message from our sponsor. **This is a product recommendation from our writers. When you buy through this link, Morning Brew may earn a commission.

GAMES

Brew crossword: Today’s puzzle will make you curdle. Play it here.

Open House

Welcome to Open House, the only newsletter section looking to abandon the hustle and bustle of the city and spend the rest of its days tending to the berries.

Strawberry farm in Missouri.Zillow

Today’s property is a 12-acre strawberry and elderberry farm in Springfield, MO. The listing also includes a cute little storefront with a 960-square-foot living space above it. Amenities include:

  • 1 bed, 2 baths
  • Heated greenhouse
  • One year of mentorship from the current owner

How much to live out a Hallmark movie?

SHARE THE BREW

Share Morning Brew with your friends, acquire free Brew swag, and then acquire more friends as a result of your fresh Brew swag.

We’re saying we’ll give you free stuff and more friends if you share a link. One link.

Your referral count: 0

Click to Share

Or copy & paste your referral link to others:
morningbrew.com/daily/r/?kid=7a560fad

ANSWER

$900,000

Word of the Day

Today’s Word of the Day is: intractable, meaning “not easily relieved or cured.” Thanks to Meghan from Chicago for a suggestion that stubbornly stuck with us. Submit another Word of the Day here.

✤ A Note From Walmart Marketplace

1 Conditions apply.

         

Written by Neal Freyman, Abigail Rubenstein, Molly Liebergall, Sam Klebanov, and Matty Merritt

Was this email forwarded to you? Sign up here.

Take The Brew to work

Get smarter in just 5 minutes

Interested in podcasts?

  • Check out ours here
ADVERTISE // CAREERS // SHOP // FAQ

Update your email preferences or unsubscribe here.
View our privacy policy here.

Copyright © 2025 Morning Brew Inc. All rights reserved.
22 W 19th St, 4th Floor, New York, NY 10011