• October 9, 2024

☕️ Flabbergasted

The federal deficit hit $1.8 trillion…

October 09, 2024 View Online | Sign Up | Shop

Morning Brew

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Good morning. By the time you read this, Las Vegas’s last remaining building from its mob era will be no more.

The Tropicana, the third-oldest casino on the Strip, was imploded at 2:30am PT (5:30am here on the East Coast) to make way for the new $1.5 billion baseball stadium to house the former Oakland Athletics.

Because it’s Vegas, this wasn’t your typical building implosion. According to the Associated Press, in 1993, ex-casino mogul Steve Wynn began a tradition of creating a “show” around taking down old Vegas buildings when he made it appear as if the pirate ships from his casino across the street were firing on the Dunes as it was cleared out for the Bellagio (on live TV, of course).

This morning’s 22-second implosion of the Tropicana was also a spectacle, accompanied by a drone show and a fireworks display as Vegas starts its new era as a Sports Town.

—Cassandra Cassidy, Molly Liebergall, Matty Merritt, Adam Epstein, Neal Freyman

MARKETS

Nasdaq

18,182.92

S&P

5,751.13

Dow

42,080.37

10-Year

4.033%

Bitcoin

$62,274.19

Roblox

$40.51

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*Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 4:00pm ET. Here’s what these numbers mean.

  • Markets: Stocks went Charles Barkley mode yesterday and rebounded strongly from Monday’s sell-off, sending all three major indexes higher thanks to gains from the tech sector. But it was a tough day for Roblox, which dropped after it was accused—like some men on their Hinge profiles—of exaggerating its metrics.
 

GOVERNMENT

US federal deficit hits $1.8 trillion

An illustration of the White House in front of a teal background. A large, rolled up receipt that unfurls to the edge of the picture sits at the base of the building's entrance.  Francis Scialabba

The United States government continued to spend like a couple with dual incomes and no kids, resulting in a federal deficit that added up to $1.8 trillion last fiscal year, according to a new report from the Congressional Budget Office. It’s the biggest annual deficit in three years and a sign that lawmakers have largely ignored the widening budget gap ahead of pivotal tax decisions coming in 2025.

The nearly $2 trillion annual deficit was fueled by greater spending on programs for older Americans and higher interest payments. The US spent $950 billion on its IOUs last fiscal year—a 34% spike from the previous year and more than the Pentagon’s entire budget, per the Washington Post.

The timing is off: Deficits tend to widen during wars, recessions, and most recently, pandemics, when the government spends big to prop up the economy. That the US is running a deficit this big when the economy is kicking butt, as it is now, worries budget hawks who claim government spending is out of control.

How it started / how it’s going:

  • During the economic boom times of the early ’90s, federal debt was one-third of US GDP.
  • Fast-forward to 2027 and debt is projected to top 106% of GDP, which would be a new record.

When will the deficit come down?

Probably not anytime soon. Both presidential candidates, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, rarely mention narrowing the deficit and have put forward spending-heavy economic proposals that, if enacted, would add trillions more to the $35.7 trillion national debt, a nonpartisan organization found. In a report released Monday, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget calculated that:

  • President Trump’s plans would add up to $15 trillion to the US debt pile.
  • VP Harris’s plans would add just over half that—as much as $8 trillion.

Looking ahead…next year, many elements of Trump’s 2017 tax cuts will expire, presenting an opportunity to raise much-needed government revenue. But Trump has pledged to extend those cuts, while Harris said she would not raise taxes on anyone making under $400,000. Meanwhile, the US is running up the red ink.—NF

   

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WORLD

Tour de headlines

Traffic in Florida ahead of Hurricane Milton Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Hurricane Milton to hit Florida tonight as millions told to flee. The strongest storm in the Gulf of Mexico since 2005 is expected to make landfall tonight in the Tampa Bay area, where experts warn the storm surge could reach 15 feet. Nearly 6 million Floridians across 11 counties in coastal and low-lying areas are under mandatory or voluntary evacuation orders. More than 1,500 flights have been canceled as of Tuesday. Milton, still a Category 5 as of this morning, is likely to weaken into a Category 3 before it lands, but experts warn it will have devastating effects. Tampa Mayor Jane Castor said that debris left from Hurricane Helene two weeks ago could be picked up by Milton and used as a “weapon.”

SCOTUS likely to uphold Biden’s rules on “ghost guns.” In what would be a win for gun safety advocates and the Biden administration, a majority of Supreme Court justices signaled yesterday that they’re open to supporting federal restrictions on untraceable ghost guns, which can be ordered online and assembled with homemade kits. The rules, imposed in 2022, regulate ghost gun kits like regular guns, requiring sellers to mark products with serial numbers and buyers to pass background checks. Lawyers for pro-gun groups argued that the rules are an overreach and that gun kits are primarily aimed at “hobbyists,” but the court appeared more receptive to the government’s argument that they allow criminals to circumvent gun laws.

TikTok sued by 14 states for being intentionally addictive to kids. A bipartisan group of more than a dozen attorneys general filed separate lawsuits against TikTok yesterday, alleging that the popular social media company harmed young people’s mental health by getting them hooked on the app’s addictive algorithm and infinite scroll design. A TikTok spokesperson called the allegations “inaccurate and misleading” and said the company is committed to protecting teens. The lawsuits are the latest in an avalanche of legal trouble for TikTok, following a federal lawsuit and a proposed bill that could see it banned in the US. Dozens of states filed a similar lawsuit against Instagram owner Meta last year.—AE

SCIENCE

Nobel goes to AI ‘godfather’ worried for his creation

Geoffrey Hinton Ramsey Cardy/Getty Images

Imagine if Dr. Frankenstein got a gold medal for pulling the lever on his eight-foot friend. That might be how machine-learning guru Geoffrey Hinton felt yesterday when he was named a co-winner of the Nobel Prize in physics for work starting in the 1980s on the technology that he now wants to be reined in.

“I’m flabbergasted,” he told the Nobel committee over the phone from a “cheap hotel” in California, adding that he’d probably cancel an MRI appointment he had scheduled for later in the day. Hinton shares the accolade and $1 million prize with fellow tech pioneer John Hopfield, whose work underpinned Hinton’s research on neural networks, which in turn props up artificial intelligence like ChatGPT.

But…both scientists have raised the alarm on AI:

  • Hinton, who’s often called the godfather of AI, quit Google last spring after 10+ years, saying he partly regretted his life’s work and urging Big Tech to slow down and assess AI risks. He said yesterday that he still worries about “systems more intelligent than us that eventually take control.”
  • Hopfield signed early petitions calling for more regulation and has compared AI to viruses or nuclear power because of the massive potential to help or hurt civilization.

Hinton still uses GPT-4: He asks his godson everything. He said, “I don’t totally trust it because it can hallucinate, but on almost everything, it’s a not-very-good expert. And that’s very useful.”—ML

   

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RETAIL

Spirit Halloween gets into the Christmas spirit

Spirit Halloween storefront Patrick T. Fallon/Getty Images

Spirit Halloween heard your jokes and decided it’s going to stick around for a few more months and then pack up suddenly and disappear into the night. The retailer, famous for snapping up empty storefronts in strip malls, is opening Spirit Christmas locations this year in hopes of dominating yet another holiday with its traveling carnival of a business strategy.

The first Spirit Christmas will open on October 18 in New Jersey, followed by nine more locations across the Northeast. The stores will be set up at a mix of former Spirit Halloween spots and other empty storefronts:

  • The retailer said stores will sell stocking stuffers, inflatables, decor, apparel, and we’re guessing the equivalent of its Halloween counterpart’s iconic “opened box of fake lashes.”
  • You can already book a time slot to meet Santa and take a free photo with him at all Christmas locations.

Spirit has conquered spooky season. The pop-up retailer, owned by Spencer Gifts, said it opened a record 1,525 Halloween stores in the US and Canada this year. But now the company wants to snag some of the record $964 billion that US shoppers spent during last year’s holiday season.—MM

   

STAT

Prime number: Pickleball takeover

People playing pickleball in New York City Spencer Platt/Getty Images

If your lesser cousin took 10% of all your stuff, you’d probably be upset, too. Pickleball, aka “tennis but smaller, easier, and with more annoying sounds,” has commandeered 10% of the tennis courts in the US, according to the US Tennis Association. One standard tennis court can be easily converted into up to four pickleball courts, making the vegetable-named newcomer an attractive investment for private clubs. This is a problem for tennis, which has increased in popularity since the pandemic (though not as quickly as pickleball) and needs its own court space. The USTA estimates there will be 24.5 million tennis players this year and 35 million by 2035—but not if it continues to lose real estate to Big Pickle.—AE

NEWS

What else is brewing

  • McDonald’s sued several major meat producers, alleging that they conspired to limit their supplies and jack up prices.
  • Kamala Harris announced a plan to broaden Medicare to cover home healthcare for the first time in an effort to help the “sandwich generation” of Americans who are taking care of both their children and their parents.
  • WeightWatchers said it will offer cheaper copycat versions of Novo Nordisk’s weight loss drug, Wegovy.
  • A new book by Watergate journalist Bob Woodward alleges that Donald Trump secretly sent Vladimir Putin Covid-19 test machines for the Russian’s personal use at a time when they were rare in the US.
  • Home Depot ordered all of its corporate employees, including senior management, to work one eight-hour retail shift every quarter so they could “truly understand the challenges and opportunities our store associates face every day.”
  • Mega Millions tickets will cost more next year—$5 instead of $2—in a move that will also lead to bigger prizes.
  • The New York Jets fired head coach Robert Saleh, ensuring another season of misery.

RECS

Wednesday to-do list

Learn: A glossary of AI terms you’ve seen everywhere but don’t totally understand.

Shop: The best deals for Amazon Prime Day today.

Listen: The Spanish classical guitar piece that inspired the iconic Nokia tune.

Debate: Are you Team Hard or Team Soft for your luggage?

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GAMES

The puzzle section

Word search: The answers to today’s Word Search are all hiding in your bedroom closet. Play it here.

Fictional school trivia

With the new season of Abbott Elementary beginning tonight, here’s trivia about fictional schools. We’ll give you the name of a school, and you have to name the TV show or movie it came from.

  1. Constance Billard School for Girls
  2. William McKinley High School for the Performing Arts
  3. Sunnydale High School
  4. Greendale Community College
  5. Dillon High School
  6. East High School
  7. John Adams High School

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ANSWER

1. Gossip Girl

2. Glee

3. Buffy the Vampire Slayer

4. Community

5. Friday Night Lights

6. High School Musical

7. Boy Meets World

Word of the Day

Today’s Word of the Day is: commandeered, meaning “to take possession or control of something.” Thanks to Emily from Scranton, PA, for securing the suggestion. Submit another Word of the Day here.

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