Good morning investors. The irony of dominance is that if you dominate slightly less than usual, detractors call it out even if nothing has come close to dethroning you.
Just as this is true in pro sports, itās the case in the stock market.
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The Mag 7 keep chugging along
The Magnificent Seven are still the most consequential story of the stock market, even if theyāve taken a backseat to geopolitics this year.
Months of tariff updates and macro whiplash have stolen attention from the Big Tech bunch that includes Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon and Tesla, yet their collective earnings dominance serves as a timely reminder as to their influence on markets.
For the latest quarter, the Magnificent Seven posted aggregate earnings growth of 27.7% compared to a year ago, according to FactSet.
While thatās slightly below the average 32.1% seen over the last three quarters, it still outpaced the 9.4% clip of the other 493 companies in the S&P 500.
Six of the seven names beat expectations, and total earnings growth exceeded forecasts by almost 15%.
Alphabet, Amazon, and Nvidia ranked as three of the five biggest contributors to the indexās earnings growth.Ā Ā
That strength showed up in performance.
While Big Tech remains negative in 2025, the Magnificent Seven gained more than 13% last month to drag the S&P 500 to its best May since 1990.Ā
Despite the stellar quarter, analysts tracked by FactSet continue to expect lower earnings growth for the Magnificent Seven over the next several quarters:Ā
Q2 2025 estimate: +14.0%
Q3 2025 estimate: +8.9%
Q4 2025 estimate: +10.6%
Q1 2026 estimate: +10.2%
Analysts expect earnings growth for the S&P 493, meanwhile, to catch up with the Magnificent Seven by the first quarter of 2026.
That said, Big Tech still leads the way in earnings growth among the 11 sectors of the benchmark index, as the chart below illustrates.
For investors who can look beyond tariff uncertainty and White House messaging, the Big Tech narrative is worth monitoring.
Appleās Worldwide Developers conference begins June 9, and Teslaās expected to break more news regarding its robotaxis later in the month.
Indeed, even with cooling earnings expectations, the same leadership is there. No group of businesses is more foundational to the marketās earnings engine or trader psychology.
While these stocks have lost some of their media allure, outperformance and speculative froth, theyāve retained their primacy in market share.Ā
Regardless of whether you own them in your portfolio, ignore their dominance at your own risk.Ā
Market snapshot
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šĀ Fed officials are divided on what to do with rates. Policymakers arenāt sure whether to hold interest rates steady or cut them. Some argue for ālooking throughā the impact of tariffs as temporary, which would leave the door open to cuts, while others believe thereās a risk of resurgent inflation. (Yahoo Finance)
š¦JPMorgan chief Jamie Dimon isnāt retiring soon. The 69-year-old said Monday that he still loves what he does and still loves his country: āI donāt know what Iād do if I wasnāt fighting for something every day.ā (WSJ)
šļøĀ More office space is being removed than added for the first time in decades. After years of deep distress, the beat-down US office market is hitting an inflection point and the overall footprint of the sector is shrinking, data from CBRE Group shows. Itās the first time itās happened this century. (CNBC)
Rapid-fire
The White House wants countriesā best offers on tariffs by Wednesday (Reuters)
Disney is laying off several hundred employees globally to cut costs (Yahoo Finance)
The US ISM manufacturing data dropped to 39.9 for May, the lowest level since 2009 (TipRanks)
Indian billionaire Gautam Adani is under new scrutiny from the US Justice Department for potential sanctions violations (WSJ)
DraftKings and other sports-betting stocks dropped Monday after Illinois lawmakers passed a new tax on the industry (Investopedia)
Steel stocks soared on Monday following Trumpās tariff announcement on Friday (Barronās)
The stock market is shrugging off the bearish, gloomy outlooks (Opening Bell Daily)
Blueprint Medicines stock soared 26% Monday after French drugmaker Sanofi said it would acquire it for $9.5 billion (Barronās)
Last thing
Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick
The past 3 days we’ve seen:
Steel tariffs to 50% Ukraine attack Russian airbases Terrorist attack in Boulder US with a he said, Xi said argument over who broke the unwritten rules first Manufacturing imports lowest since ’09
Yet, stocks were up today in fairly calm trading.
9:00 PM ⢠Jun 2, 2025
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About me
š° Iām Phil Rosen, co-founder and editor-in-chief of Opening Bell Daily. Iāve published books, lived on three continents, and won awards for my journalism, which has appeared in Business Insider, Fortune, Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg and Inc. Magazine.
I write our flagship newsletter to prepare you for each trading day ā unpacking markets, economic data and Wall Street with analysis you wonāt find anywhere else.
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