Bitcoin was recently trading at around $22,950, up 2.3% for the day. BTC moved sideways earlier Monday and briefly reached as high as $23,158 in early afternoon trading hours (ET) before retreating. According to data from CoinShares, short-bitcoin investment products saw inflows of $25.5 million last week, the largest amount since last July, when $51 million went into those products in one week.
Meanwhile, equities closed up amid continued hopes that the U.S. central bank will ratchet back its hawkish monetary policy. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite rose 2% while the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) were up 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.
Gemini has been swept up in the bankruptcy of crypto lender Genesis Global Capitaland has been unable to pay out funds to its Earn account holders. Gemini’s founders, Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, have engaged in a Twitter war with Digital Currency Group, the parent company of Genesis, over the $900 million owed to Earn customers. (DCG is also the parent company of CoinDesk.)
“It was our hope to avoid further reductions after this summer, however, persistent negative macroeconomic conditions and unprecedented fraud perpetuated by bad actors in our industry have left us with no other choice but to revise our outlook and further reduce headcount,” wrote Cameron Winklevoss, the president and co-founder of Gemini, in the internal message.
Gemini had previously cut 10% of its staff in June, followed by more layoffs in July, according to TechCrunch. Gemini’s headcount was down overall from 1,100 at the start of 2022 to between 650 and 700 people near the end of the year, according to The Information.
Many large crypto companies, including Coinbase, Crypto.com, Blockchain.com and ConsenSys, have cut staff in recent weeks amid the ongoing crypto winter. CoinDesk estimates nearly 27,000 jobs have been lost across the industry since April of last year.
FTX’s FTT Token: FTT has rallied nearly 150% this month as a bull revival in the broader market triggered a short squeeze in the battered cryptocurrency. Data tracked by Kaiko Research shows a balanced order book in Binance’s FTT-BUSD market, with the number of buy orders for 20,000 FTT or more now matching similar-sized sell orders. FTT previously crashed 96% in November, hitting a low of 81 cents as its parent exchange went bust. As of publication time, FTT was trading at $2.2, up 8% for the day, according to data from CoinGecko.
The Long Term Holder MVRV (market value to realized valued) ratio has risen above 1.0 for the first time in six months, indicating that the cost basis for long-term holders is now below the spot price of bitcoin.
Clearly, investors getting long (buying and owning an asset expected to appreciate over time) on BTC at a lower cost basis following a prolonged decline in BTC’s price is driving this trend. But with over 97.5% of short-term supply now in profit, will newer BTC investors cash in on the move higher or maintain their positions, ultimately becoming long-term holders themselves? And what is the significance of either move?
Evidence from January 2018, April 2021 and November 2021 indicates that an increase in short-term supply in profit above 97.5% preceded sharp price downturns. Are markets now headed in that direction?
Investors may also wish to scrutinize the stablecoin supply ratio (SSR) and the amount of bitcoin being sent to exchanges, among other indicators. The SSR declines as investors send more stablecoins to exchanges relative to BTC. This trend indicates more capital being sent to exchanges for the purposes of acquiring more bitcoin. A similar metric to remember is the exchange reserve balance of stablecoins, because an increase indicates increased buying pressure.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this message is intended as a news item that provides a brief summary of various events and developments that affect, or that might in the future affect, the value of one or more of the cryptocurrencies described above. The information contained in this message, and any information liked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. The information presented herein is accurate only as of its date, and it was not prepared by a research analyst or other investment professional. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency before deciding to purchase or sell any such instruments.
